Oil prices remain stable, with Brent crude hovering just above $96 per barrel, as the U.S. and Iran approach a potential truce. This development is easing fears of supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, which could bolster risk assets and support U.S. indices as they aim for record highs. Meanwhile, European markets are experiencing a mixed response, with luxury goods companies like Hermes facing significant headwinds due to reduced demand tied to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

The luxury sector is particularly vulnerable, as evidenced by Hermes reporting a 10% drop in share price after a €300 million revenue hit linked to the war. The broader luxury market, which had been recovering, now faces uncertainty as supply chains are disrupted and tourist flows decline. In contrast, tech stocks are thriving, with companies like Oracle and Microsoft gaining traction, while chipmakers like Nvidia may struggle as investor focus shifts back to software.

For market professionals, the key takeaway is the divergence in sector performance: while tech continues to flourish, luxury brands are under pressure, indicating a potential reallocation of investment strategies as the geopolitical landscape evolves.

Source: xtb.com