Wheat futures are opening the week on a down note, with Chicago SRW futures slipping 4 cents, KC HRW futures declining 10 to 11 cents, and MPLS spring wheat trading 4 to 5 ¼ cents lower. This downturn follows a long weekend and comes as the market anticipates wetter weather in parts of the Southern Plains, which could influence crop conditions. Analysts expect the upcoming Crop Progress report to show 42% of the crop rated good to excellent, a slight decrease from last year.

The latest export inspections data reveals a 13.5% drop in wheat shipments week-over-week, totaling 334,106 MT, with Mexico being the largest importer. Year-to-date shipments are down 16.6% compared to the previous year, indicating potential headwinds for the sector. Notably, the Commitment of Traders data shows a shift in sentiment, with speculators holding a net long position in CBT wheat for the first time since June 2022.

Market professionals should monitor the upcoming Crop Progress report closely, as any significant deviations from expectations could further impact wheat prices and trading strategies.

Source: nasdaq.com