Wall Street is poised to resume trading today following the Good Friday closure, buoyed by reports of a potential ceasefire in the Middle East and ongoing US-Iran negotiations. Investors are cautiously re-entering equities, with S&P 500 futures up about 0.3%, reflecting a selective rotation back into higher-beta assets, particularly in the technology sector. However, the geopolitical landscape remains volatile, with Donald Trump issuing a deadline for Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz, heightening tensions.

The focus will shift to the US ISM data release later today, which could further influence market sentiment. Increased vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has eased immediate supply concerns, yet risks of escalation persist, especially with Iran’s threats to retaliate against US allies. This backdrop has contributed to a reversal in crude oil gains and a decline in gold prices, as investors reassess geopolitical risk premiums in light of shifting monetary policy expectations.

Market professionals should watch for how today’s ISM data and geopolitical developments impact investor sentiment, particularly in energy and commodity sectors, as volatility may present both risks and opportunities.

Source: xtb.com