Apple Inc. (AAPL) has seen its stock soar 953% over the past decade, but investors are now eyeing a potential target of $500 per share within the next five years. To achieve this ambitious milestone, analysts suggest that Apple’s diluted earnings per share (EPS) must grow at a rate exceeding the current consensus estimate of 11.4% annually. Recent financial results show promise, with a 15.7% revenue increase in Q1 fiscal 2026, largely fueled by a 23.4% surge in iPhone sales.

However, as Apple’s revenue base grows, sustaining high growth rates becomes increasingly challenging. Currently, shares trade 11% below their December peak, and with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.2, the stock is not considered a bargain. Market sentiment will play a crucial role; if growth slows, a lower P/E ratio could further diminish the stock’s upside potential.

In summary, while Apple’s recent performance is encouraging, achieving a $500 share price by 2031 hinges on stronger-than-expected EPS growth and improved market sentiment, both of which carry inherent risks.

Source: fool.com